TouchlineAlpha tracks club performance using an ELO rating system built on two evidence signals: performance relative to betting market expectations, and points earned relative to squad value. All clubs start with an ELO rating of 1500, the system’s performance baseline. Ratings update dynamically after every match.
ELO Rating
The club’s current performance score. A rating of 1500 represents the baseline. Ratings above 1500 (green) indicate above-average performance, while ratings below 1500 (red) indicate below-average performance.
< 1400 · Struggling
1400–1500 · Below average
1500 · Baseline
1500–1600 · Above average
1700+ · Elite
Overperformance Index (OI)
An ELO metric capturing how much a team exceeds market expectations, using betting odds as the benchmark for expected performance.
Budget Efficiency (BE)
An ELO metric based on points per squad value. Higher scores reflect better performance relative to the financial resources available.
Historical Value
Measures the total performance accumulated by a club over their tracked history. Higher scores reflect both consistent high performance and the ability to sustain it over time.
Hover over any column header for a description · Click a club’s name to add it to the ELO Trajectories chart · Expand any row for season-by-season history