TouchlineAlpha tracks club performance using an ELO rating system built on signals based on performance relative to betting market expectations and squad value. All clubs start with an ELO rating of 1500, the system’s performance baseline. This represents a club performing in line with market expectations and squad value efficiency. Ratings update dynamically after every match.
ELO Rating
The club’s current performance score. A rating of 1500 represents the baseline. Ratings above 1500 (green) indicate above-average performance, while ratings below 1500 (red) indicate below-average performance.
< 1400 · Struggling
1400–1500 · Below avg
1500 · Baseline
1500–1600 · Above avg
1600+ · Elite
Club Strength Coefficient (CSC)
A power ranking of clubs within their league, based on market odds expectations and squad market value. Ranges from 1.0 for the strongest club down to 0 for the weakest, allowing direct comparison of strength across teams. A measure of club strength, not club performance.
Overperformance Index (OI)
An ELO metric capturing how much a team exceeds market expectations, using betting odds as the benchmark for expected performance.
Budget Efficiency (BE)
An ELO metric based on points per squad value. Higher scores reflect better performance relative to the financial resources available.
Goal Efficiency (GE)
An ELO metric based on net goal margin relative to the correlation with the market expectations. Higher scores reflect a club consistently outperforming expectations in terms of net goals difference.
Historical Value
Measures the total performance accumulated by a club over their tracked history. Higher scores reflect both consistent high performance and the ability to sustain it over time.
Hover over any column header for a description · Click a club’s name to add it to the ELO Trajectories chart · Expand any row for season-by-season history